Classical allusions

Just in case you were wondering what might have become of my Rubenesque models from this post, they’re still around, living happily (I’m assuming) in the azalea bushes out front – I make it a point to see if I can find them daily. The number I can spot varies; at least one is a regular resident, but at times I can spot two on one bush, then apparently a different one on another a day or so later, but it’s hard to tell for sure just how many are around. And two more younger mantises are now being found on the pampas grass nearby, which always houses a few each year.

Yesterday, I managed to capture some tonsorial rituals.


I should probably feel a bit insulted, since my model here (I believe this is a Chinese mantis, Tenodera aridifolia sinensis,) undertook its meticulous foreleg cleaning efforts immediately after I’d coaxed it to walk on my hand for the scale shot. Or perhaps this is a measure of mantis respect. My friend here is better than twice the size it was when I first found them and got the dew pics, about 4 cm in length, but still well below adult size (that’s my finger, in case it’s not clear.) Nobody has been cooperative enough to let me photograph the molting, even though I’m pretty certain it’s happened at least twice, judging from the color changes. The chances of my capturing this activity in images is slight, however; immediately after molting their chitin is still soft, leaving them very vulnerable, so they tend to perform the molt while hidden and remain so until they feel safe – the thick bushes provide plenty of opportunity for this. Still, I keep watching.

I’m pleased that I actually captured some of the facets in the eyes in the closeup pics – I can’t even speculate on how small these really are, but the head measures 4mm across the eyes. The little manipulative fingers alongside the mouth are called palps, similar in function to the pedipalps of spiders. We have lips, they have mouthfingers. Praying mantises cannot whistle, but we can’t clean between our toes with our mouths.


Well, maybe this isn’t exactly true. One of the benefits of a classical education is the connection that can be made to great works of art, such as the film gris chef d’oeuvreBig Trouble,” specifically this scene with Stanley Tucci and Sophia Vergara:

I just have to note that I ripped and uploaded this video myself after finding that the clip on YouTube had been tagged as “adult” by some seriously uptight individual. I suspect it wasn’t because of the footie stuff, but that she smacked him with a crucifix…

Why would they lie?

There’s a common argument that crops up in discussions of UFO sightings, always from UFO proponents (which, for my purposes here, denotes those who feel that the large number of reports are indicative of something significant – there isn’t a consensus on exactly what.) It can also crop up in regards to paranormal and even religious experiences. Made in regards to eyewitness accounts and their veracity, the argument is, “Why would anyone lie about such experiences? What would they stand to gain from that?” It often goes on to say that there is little money to be made from such, and/or that anyone doing so is setting themselves up for derision and social ostracism. We’ll set these related points aside for a moment to tackle the primary one: why would anyone lie? This question was even raised by a book reviewer in his own defense recently.

The question itself seems remarkably naïve, but it’s possible that it doesn’t stem from naïveté, but instead from rationalizing a tendency to take eyewitness reports at face value because it serves as support for the favored notion of UFO sightings as ‘significant.’ Ignoring the pop psychology angle, the question is essentially the same as, “Why would anyone perpetrate a hoax?” It’s a question worth examining, but hardly very supportive of the idea that no one actually perpetrates hoaxes; of course they do, all the time really. One might as well ask, “Why watch sports on TV?” or “Why buy a car that can go 200 kph when the speed limit is 100?” and so on. It smacks of believing that humans are always and dependably rational.

Hoaxes, however, are an interesting topic, most especially those where no apparent gain is possible, or where a lot of effort is required to maintain them. Yet, a hoax is simply a practical joke applied on a larger scale, aimed more publicly (and usually impersonally) than a practical joke. A practical joke is not only done for humor, but often as a means of humiliation, or as a challenge: the perpetrator attempts to establish a form of superiority, however benign, over the victim in a battle of wits. Often, it is a manipulation of emotional reaction – the victim responds as if events are random or undirected, entirely differently than they would if they were aware that someone is trying to manipulate them. In these cases the joke exists solely because the victim does not consider the correct alternative.

These traits apply especially well to hoaxes. A successful hoax draws in as many people as possible, which implies that the hoaxer is more clever than all of the victims/believers, in effect raising the hoaxer higher in status (within their own perspective, at least) than all who succumbed. In many cases the hoax is intended as a comment on society, targeting the fixation on a particular explanation without considering alternatives; it may highlight the reliance on social support (all of these people believe, so I should too) that humans utilize a bit too often, instead of individual examination and weighing of the factors alone. Most hoaxes are non-harmful, victimless exercises, breaking few if any laws and rarely even disadvantaging anyone. The level of anyone’s involvement is dictated solely by themselves – if they either fail to fall for it or simply treat it as lacking significance, they are free from any ill effects. This means, in all cases where such traits are applicable, that the victim has simply done it to themselves.

True, not every hoax falls into such categories, such as fake bombs being planted in public areas – here the hoaxer preys on substantial fears and, frankly, rational erring on the side of caution; such ruses are both malicious (whether intended to be or not) and criminal. But the large majority of hoaxes avoid such targets in favor of harmless applications.

In some cases, hoaxes start out small, but gain more notoriety than intended or imagined by the perpetrator, and quickly pass the point where revealing the hoax would still be greeted with rueful laughs and shaken fingers – the Cottingley Fairies are a great example. The hoaxer is then placed in a position where they must either face serious public reprisal and embarrassment to reveal their intent, or maintain the charade until such a time when the revelation is either foregone or considered irrelevant. But this serves to explain how a hoax can become extraordinarily elaborate without any intention or planning, like a child playing with matches. We need to recognize that hindsight cannot be reasonably applied; a simple hoax that grew just a little too big might engender some fear of scolding from, for instance, parents or local authorities, which may be enough to discourage the hoaxer from admitting their stunt. As it continues to grow, the potential blowback becomes commensurately greater, making the parental scolding seem ridiculously tame in comparison – but is it safe to believe that any hoaxer could accurately predict how far it could reach? To assume that a hoax would be admitted before it got too big, therefore any large-scale public attention is evidence against a hoax, demonstrates a lack of perspective.

In situations such as UFO reporting, the willingness to believe of the majority of proponents is already well-known, and little support other than earnest storytelling is needed to perpetrate a hoax; this makes the task far easier. In fact, this can even result in the hoaxer gaining accomplices from the victims themselves, as the victims become reluctant to admit that they fell for it or that a hoax even exists, and struggle to find ways to support the premise of the hoax rationally. And this doesn’t just happen in UFO circles, as anyone familiar with the name “Chris Mooney” knows.

Seen from the hoaxer’s standpoint, every credulous remark, every news story, every believer, all feeds into their ego, racking up points on an internal scorecard. It really is no different than anyone pursuing sports records or high test scores, since these are also methods of placing any individual above a large number of others. In fact, it can even be said that the hoaxer accomplishes far more than the athlete, since not only are their skills more likely to be applicable to career functions (marketing, politics, sitcom writing,) any emphasis on reducing gullibility and increasing critical examination within the general public is solely beneficial. On rare occasions this is even recognized (“Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me”), but overall, hoaxes are resented more often than appreciated, generally from embarrassment over being caught – this is unfortunate when compared against the utterly pointless and selfish pursuit of sports trophies, and the generally positive reaction to such.

Returning to the question of what someone might stand to gain from a hoax aimed specifically at the UFO (or paranormal, or religious) community, one has to be unfathomably ignorant to ignore the amount of money someone can sell a story or a photo for, much less speaker’s fees and book rights. And in some cases, it may be true that “the general public” might find someone less than reputable, but the UFO community isn’t too discriminating and is more than happy to shower praise and huzzahs on even the weakest and least substantiated stories – and continue to do so for decades, long after the general public has stopped paying attention. It’s strange that more people don’t take advantage of this, really.

Consider, too, that any hoaxer who is treated as a crackpot or mental defective by any portion of the public knows that their story is a charade, specifically intended to provoke a response. They are far less likely to be embarrassed by such attitudes because they have no reason to take them personally – it’s an act. Any stage actor who plays a villain and provokes negative responses over their “evil” is proud of this, since their goal is to be believable. Failure, to any hoaxer, is only provoking no reaction. But what this also brings up is that it is much more likely that anyone honestly relating an actual encounter, personally and emotionally involved, is the person who will feel embarrassed by public derision and the loss of their reputation – which probably makes it more likely that a prominently publicized account is a hoax rather than genuine, at least when considered from the emotional standpoint. Note that this is exactly opposite how the argument is usually forwarded.

Finally, there is the notoriety aspect to be considered. While any claim of an encounter may generate certain amounts of both good and bad public reactions – support from UFO proponents on one hand, and ridicule from cynics on the other – both of these are considerably more attention than any individual typically garners. People are arrested all of the time for such pointless acts as streaking and public nudity, destruction of property, disrupting social events, climbing monuments, and various other less-than-reputable actions. Numerous celebrities are especially well known for being assholes. For some, it’s not a matter of good or bad attention, merely attention, sometimes in whatever manner works best. Consider, too, the practices of the internet troll, whose sole motivation is to provoke a response and “push buttons” – it is a form of manipulation, the psychological equivalent of using an opponent’s strength against themselves, and hardly qualifies as being a respected practice in the least, yet there is no shortage of these.

Failing to recognize the possibility of hoaxes naturally makes someone a prime target for such, and within the realm of UFO proponents and enthusiasts (and again, other topics as well,) this failure is far too prevalent. When most of the evidence advanced in support of extra-terrestrial visitation et al consists of personal accounts and indistinct photos and video, hoaxing is remarkably easy. Denying this makes it even easier. Worse, it opens the door to dismiss UFO proponents (et al) as not just unworthy of being taken seriously, but gullible and fatuous, by anyone who notices the lack of rigor. And while this seems nasty, one must ask how else such terms are reasonably defined?

Showoff

So yeah, I’m well outside of the range of the annular eclipse, still taking place as I type this I believe, and my friend in Kansas thought he was too. But at least he was watching carefully at sunset when he got the right conditions.



No filters needed when it’s this low on the horizon, since the atmosphere cuts the light levels down to manageable levels. Notice how the sun broke from underneath the cloud cover to make its brief appearance, by my estimate for less than 200 seconds.

Around here in North Carolina, the haze is usually too great to see anything within a few degrees of the horizon, and my only clear vantages that low generally have things like the interstate in the foreground. Typically, every meteorological event that’s come up in the past several months, including just plans to use the full moon two weeks ago as a light source for long exposures, has been trashed by bad weather. We’ve even had several electrical storms, all obscured by low clouds to prevent any lightning pics.

So yes, Jim, I hate you.


Too cool, part 14: Up close with the shuttle

Okay, first off, I apologize to those whose attention span will not be able to handle a 45 minute video – I know, this is the internet, the TL;DR Channel, where three minutes is a chore. Chill out, get a Pepsi or some tea, and stay on the same page for a bit (it’ll make me happier when looking at the site stats, too.)

Second, I’m really sorry they didn’t do this sooner, before the space shuttle orbiter was scheduled for retirement, because it adds a lot more interesting detail to the whole launch process. What I’m featuring here is a collection of clips during a couple of shuttle launches, taken by some of the 125+ cameras that keep track of various factors from very distinct vantage points, most of them at high-speed frame rates which provide excellent detail. You can watch the main engines ignite from front row, and actually see the explosive bolts that hold the solid rocket boosters in place on the pad fire off and release. And throughout it all are quite a few details about the cameras themselves and how they operate. Below, I include a short glossary of the abbreviations used by the narrators.

My one regret is that they didn’t either rehearse (and perhaps edit) the voice-overs, or perhaps obtain some professional voice actors. While it means a lot to have two NASA engineers explaining everything we can see, it comes off a tad unpolished. Still, I think most viewers can handle the video without the need for some infomercial-style enthusing.

Also note, there’s an HD version out there, but I had several issues with it pegging out, so I’m featuring the lower-res version here.

Glossary of abbreviations
FSS – Fixed Service Structure (“launch tower”)
KTM – Kineto Tracking Mount (great pic here)
LCC – Launch Control Complex (“mission control”)
MLP – Mobile Launcher Platform
RCS – Reaction Control System (maneuvering rockets)
SSME – Space Shuttle Main Engines
SRB – Solid Rocket Booster
TSM – Tail Service Mast

Here’s a couple of little bits of trivia. Throughout the video, you’ll notice the extensive use of water, not for cooling and protecting the launch area as one might expect, but for “sound suppression.” The thrust of the engines and boosters hitting the launch platform can actually send shock waves back up to the vehicle, potentially damaging it, so the water serves to dissipate the worst effects of the thrust. Also, note that when you see a launch producing huge gouts of smoke, bear in mind that the white clouds are not smoke, but steam (okay, pedants, water vapor) from this suppression system. The SRBs produce grey smoke, and the SSMEs produce none at all.

Also, the entire launch vehicle of shuttle, external tank, and solid rocket boosters are attached to the MLP (and transported) by just four bolts on the bottom of each SRB, the ones you see separating by small explosions as the boosters ignite. They boosters are placed onto the platform first and bolted down, then the external tank fitted between them, and the shuttle orbiter attached to that. The solid boosters are the only things not actually empty when this takes place – all other fueling and payload placement occurs after the launch platform has reached the FSS on the pad. For years, I thought the Tail Service Masts, those big blocks that sit at the base of the orbiter’s wings, served to hold the orbiter in place since it was so offset from the apparent center of gravity, but all they do is provide propellent and electrical connections to the SSMEs and RCS.

In the video, they mention the long-distance camera tracking stations situated miles away from the launch pad. When I lived in Florida, I was aware of one of them to the south, next to Patrick Air Force Base, so I went looking for the one to the north. Near as I can tell, it can be found by putting “28.702876 N 80.668605 W” into Google Maps, Bing, whatever. Thy look like miniature observatory domes. The one near Patrick is at “28.227168 N 80.599659 W”. Somewhere south of Cocoa is another, abandoned one that I have to try and find again.



By the way, the Fixed Service Structures on pads 39-A and 39-B, seen here in a pic from the wildlife refuge north of the Cape in 2004, are gone now, dismantled to be replaced by structures dedicated to the new Space Launch System, not unlike the old Saturn V system that carried astronauts to the moon (and Skylab into Low Earth Orbit.) And the Vehicle Assembly Building is going through a major overhaul inside for the same purpose – try to imagine that task. But if you really want something to imagine, there’s this:



Can you make out those faint wires stretching across the frame from the FSS? (Gimme a break – I was 3.5 kilometers away.) Those are one of the many crew escape options for shuttle launches. In the event that the crew could egress the shuttle by gantry but the FSS was compromised, for instance by a ground fire, they would have jumped into little baskets attached to those wires and slid down to the ground, whereupon they could then enter some modified M113 Armored Personnel Carriers and tool their way to safety (probably after pulling some donuts and trying to find an abandoned car to run over.) But hey, you don’t have to imagine it, because NASA was kind enough to take excellent video of the final release of these escape baskets. Trust me, I was grinning stupidly for the second half of this:

Yes, that’s the VAB you can see in the distance. Many thanks to NASA for such great perspectives!

Followup: The artful dodger

In the previous post, I took Philosopher of Science Elliott Sober to task for a relatively simple question that he’s been flogging at the expense of huge amounts of oxygen and electrons – and at the same time, ripped philosophy in general. I’ll be honest and say that I would really like someone to demonstrate that philosophy has much more use than I’ve given it credit for; at the very least, it would show that a whole lot of people aren’t wasting ridiculous amounts of time with nonsense. Yet, Sober at least has been given the opportunity and has failed to rise to the challenge. At Why Evolution Is True, Jerry Coyne posed three pertinent questions directly to Sober, basically cutting to the heart of the matter to try and clarify what he saw as the flaws in Sober’s argument. Sober did indeed reply… or at least, wrote back. I think the word “reply” at least implies that the questions were actually answered, and not avoided or twisted.

So, the breakdown (yes, I’m using that in more than one meaning). Coyne’s three questions are as follows:

1. Can you demonstrate that the logical compatibility of a rarely-acting God with evolutionary biology is a serious and important philosophical question?

2. Your argument about that logical compatibility would seem to extend not just to mutation and evolution, but to all of science. Is that correct? If so, why did you concentrate on mutation?

3. If the answer to the first part of (2) is “yes,” then would it be equally important for philosophers to write papers and give talks about how we can’t rule out the logical possibility that God influences coin tosses to favor outcomes He wants (like a favorite football team winning)? If not, why not? After all, isn’t the coin-tossing argument basically identical to the one you were making for mutations?

These are simple, direct, and consistent, no? They deal with factors that have immediate bearing on the lecture that Sober has given, and repeatedly defended – in fact, they address the very reason anyone would give such a lecture in the first place. Let’s see what Sober did with them:

If by “God” you mean a being who separately created species within the last 50,000 years, then I am an atheist. But sometimes when people tell me what they mean by “God,” their answers makes me doubt that science could ever provide evidence about whether such a being exists. In this case, I feel obliged to be an agnostic. This is why I find statements like “there is strong scientific evidence that shows that God does not exist” unsatisfactory; the claim is correct for some concepts of God, but not for others.

Note that, in the last sentence, Sober is dealing with another subject entirely; neither the lecture, nor the responses given by Coyne or Rosenhouse, involved this statement at all. It is worth noting that, “there is strong scientific evidence that shows that God does not exist,” is not the same statement as, “there is no evidence for the existence of god.” Again, an argument from proving negatives and, bluntly, a straw man. And nothing to do whatsoever with his lecture.

Even before that however, Sober doesn’t answer the question posed to him, but wanders away into the definitions of others, admitting that the concepts of ‘god’ are too variable to provide anything of use. Which raises the question, why did he try to blame science (or even individual scientists) for their failure to consider something that he cannot even define himself? I hope I’m not being too unkind when I say that even an uneducated person is an idiot for arguing in consideration of something he doesn’t believe in and cannot define; a professor doing so is inexcusable.

On to questions 2 and 3, which for our purposes here can be combined. Sober admits that his supposition about cause can be applied throughout the sciences, not just within evolutionary biology. His excuse for spending all of his time on evolutionary biology?

The reason is that many theistic opponents of evolutionary theory think that accepting the theory forces one to be an atheist. They hear biologists say “mutations are unguided” and think that the theory says that God plays no role in the evolutionary process.

So, what Sober is saying here is that, because some bunch of neurotics are concerned that their personal belief system isn’t supported by biology, biologists should reword everything in the literature to express an opening that accommodates said neuroses.

Notice that there is no recognition that science is so extraordinarily useful because it emphasizes the elimination of preconceived bias. Or that scientific theories revolve around explaining what evidence we do have, not outlining the literally infinite possibilities of the evidence we do not. Not even that the pursuit of knowledge can only take place by accepting the results we get, regardless of how they make us feel. This whole situation openly demonstrates the flaws in setting emotions higher than reason, a pertinent and useful topic in philosophy, yet Sober spends his time only in perpetuating these flaws. And this is what a prestigious philosopher of science is providing?

It takes no effort to see how badly knowledge is hampered when ideology is accommodated (or forced upon, as history shows irrefutably.) It serves no purpose whatsoever to make allowances for people who fail to understand how the scientific method operates and why, especially when effort spent in promoting such understanding can actually eliminate the problem. Numerous further questions were raised by Sober’s backwards approach to biology, all of which illustrate problems solved decades to centuries ago and were directly responsible for the methodology we have now – yet Sober either remains ignorant of these, or chooses to suck up to religious whiners instead. It really doesn’t matter which.

There’s another useful thing to consider in here as well. Religion isn’t pursued because it provides answers, makes sense, or even guides us morally – it’s pursued through cultural pressures and because it’s indulgent (and, in the cases of religious leaders, because it’s a great way to make money from bullshit.) The religious problems with evolution do not stem from either evolution failing to explain some aspect of life, or from the few people who cannot reconcile the facts with their scripture; the problems stem from religious leaders actively trying to discredit it because, without “the fall” and the idea of sin, the entire structure of the abrahamic religions falls apart (and with it, the leverage religious leaders can use against the wallets of their flock.) This means that it’s not evolution that has the flaws, it’s religion. Yet evolution, in the US at least, is much more often simply ignored, considered propaganda and brainwashing – biologists aren’t heeded in the slightest among that population. Even if the efforts to find a crack into which could be stuffed Sober’s idea of “Feeblegod” reached more than .05% of evolution-deniers, this would do nothing towards a greater acceptance of science, since all it would signify is how one tactic of religious pressure actually worked; it would only lead to more efforts to discredit evolution.

Not to mention that corrupting the methods of science to gain greater acceptance of the methods of science is simply a fucked-up approach, which (again) you would think might be obvious to a philosopher of science. Unless, of course, such a degree was utterly pointless.

Final answers aren’t

Over at EvolutionBlog and Why Evolution Is True, Drs. Rosenhouse and Coyne have taken down the same philosophical question posed by Dr. Elliot Sober, to wit: Can science establish that genetic mutations are not caused by god?

It is questions like this that have guided my abiding dislike of philosophy, since a tremendous amount of time has been spent on a question that is totally backward. Aside from the basic idiocy of attempting to prove a negative, something no PhD of anything should commit (much less base an entire lecture on,) there is also the issue that one can replace the word “god” with anything at all and not change the question in the slightest. The question doesn’t have any meaning unless we assume that ‘god’ has specific and defined traits, up to and including a particular intention in causing mutations, an explanation why it would choose such a feeble way of evoking change, and a reason why this has any bearing on knowledge whatsoever.

Let’s put it this way: If we asked whether atomic decay (‘nuclear radiation’) can be ruled out in causing mutations, we at least know decay exists and has certain properties, and answering this question might tell us not to worry about exposure in certain circumstances. But ‘god’ doesn’t even have a clear definition nor any evidence of existence – what the question implies is that there is a possibility of such existence in the very lack of absolute surety, an impossibly tenuous avenue towards belief. And so, the voluminous discussions about scientific knowledge are subverted because the entire question isn’t about knowledge, but emotional supplication. Any and all concepts of deities are cultural structures, in most cases claimed to be openly and distinctly outside of empirical demonstration (that’s what ‘supernatural’ means,) so science is not even supposed to have any input into the question in the first place. But even proposing, for the sake of argument, that there simply exists a being as yet beyond detection, what would make us insert such a concept into genetic behavior, or anything else for that matter? We could propose the same thing to explain dark energy, but what does that do for us?

Moreover, you would think that someone who actually makes their living with philosophy would tumble to the fact that ‘god’ is a catch-all term for a plethora of remarkably personal properties – does the question refer to the christian god, or that of the Kalahari Bushmen? It would be nice if the choice was only two, wouldn’t it? It might have demonstrated some real thought had already been applied, anyway. One might argue that only the christian god is intended, which raises the question of how several hundred others were ruled out (something that not one philosopher, theologian, or devotee that I have ever encountered has answered); alternately, one might say that the term “god” is applied generically to any and all theology, which in essence departs from the realm of science since it has changed the nature of the question into an abstract – one might as well ask if ‘happiness’ can be proven to have no effect on mutation.

I said that the question was backwards, and in the realm of science, it is; biologists routinely ask questions more along the lines of, “What causes genetic mutations?” – you’ll notice that there isn’t any bias towards a particular answer in there, but instead an honest inquiry to gain knowledge. Instead of assuming a cultural posit, science relies on what evidence we can find to suggest the existence of anything. True enough, sometimes a temporary speculation is entertained – “I wonder if it’s affected by endocrine levels?” – but such things serve to provide avenues of specific research guided by known properties, something that cannot possibly be applied with an abstract term such as ‘god.’ And therein lies the trap that Sober hoped to spring when he outright said that science operates to rule out god. Yet, god is ruled outside science in the first place, according to most definitions of such, but ignoring that, how do you rule out something so vague? Is it being ruled out when it does not have any measurable effect in the first place, or has it never been ruled in? Can I accuse science of ruling out Darkwing Duck as a possibility? I can, apparently, if I’d wasted my life thinking that philosophy gives value to every inane question anyone raises.

What Sober probably wanted to imply was that, without a specific answer, then “god” should have been inserted as a possibility, a default answer in the face of uncertainty. Yet, we have a long history of how little use that’s been, from disease to weather to geothermal activity, where ‘god’ not only turned out to be wrong as an answer, it provided nothing of any use anyway. This is already well recognized by a fallacy called god of the gaps, which basically continues to relegate a deity’s possible influence into the smaller and smaller areas of mystery within our knowledge base. But worse, it is a non-answer, a dead-end in inquiry. If we knew what a god actually was and how it operated, we might have some use to which this could be put – praying for specific mutations, for instance – but god is instead a mystery beyond our reach. I feel obligated to note that this very trait was provided by theologians as the reason why god has no evidence or dependable responses and is indistinguishable from random events that can be explained without the need of divine intervention. The nature of science, however, does not take “we don’t know” as an answer or a stopping point, but as a challenge instead, which is the most damning factor against the compatibility of science and religion.

Part of human nature is to seek answers, which has worked pretty well so far. Interestingly, every answer that honest inquiry provides, that science provides, leads to yet another question or three – while at the same time providing applicable traits that we can put to use. Religion is entirely different. While frequently credited with providing answers in and of itself, religion serves instead to halt inquiry and constantly hide behind a claim that we are not allowed to see beyond a certain point, and its answers explain nothing. Religion did not provide us with the idea of genetic mutation itself; science did, and it served to explain how natural selection could shape so many different species over long periods of time, fitting perfectly with both the similarity of genetic makeup of every species on earth, and the curious progression of traits among fossil species. It bears noting that most concepts of gods are provided by creation legends that science, including genetics, has already trashed resoundingly. Trying to save a tiny vestige of such legends by glomming it onto functional science like some kind of parasite is evidence only of pathetic desperation, not honest inquiry.

Even if we found some fantastic, deliberate force within those mysteries still open to us, this cannot change the fact that every creation legend from every culture on the planet has been shown to be bollocks. Should we choose to call this force “god,” it will never be the god that any individual has envisioned, and its properties will remain to be determined. The chances are very great, given the long and detailed history that we already have, that our human desires and emotions are not going to be a prime concern of such a force – in other words, cosmic daddy is way too farfetched for serious consideration. It’s about time we grew up, stopped trying to find ridiculous ways to maintain emotional crutches, and faced what we can learn with eagerness and pragmatism.

And when we ask questions, let’s first try to determine that they’re useful, and not just self-indulgent horseshit.

A year goes by fast

Last year about this time, I published a post about my little friends the fishing spiders, whom I call ‘friends’ not because we hang out and hammer down Pepsi together, but because my first photo sale featured one as a subject. Lately, a few have been making themselves obvious, clearly begging to be featured again, so who am I to crush their little spirits? And I say with all honesty, it’s not that I’m avoiding bunny rabbits and ducklings, it’s that I simply have not seen anything cute at all. But still, I know some people don’t want to be greeted with spiders all the time, so I’m including the detailed pics below the break.

A little over a week ago, while staging the photo for the previous post, I espied something that can occasionally be found at the edges of ponds and streams that have plenty of reeds, seen to the left: the molted exoskeleton of a fishing spider. Spiders, and most insects, shed their ‘skins’ as they grow larger, splitting the chitin and squeezing out backwards, and then usually hiding for a while since their new exoskeleton is soft, leaving them much more vulnerable to predators. The translucent molt is left attached to whatever surface was handy, usually mistaken for a dead insect, but it’s instead a clue to be watching for the former owner nearby. When I sat down to take this image, I soon spotted the culprit hiding in the tall grasses. With a stick, I carefully flushed him out, whereupon he panicked and scampered for cover practically underneath me, but then froze and held perfectly still for some really tight closeups.

The road’s longer than it looks

Okay, let’s do a variation of an exercise I perform with my students sometimes. I’ll preface this by saying, this isn’t a trick question, nor is there a ‘right’ answer. It’s simple: look at this image and tell me what you can glean from it.

Well, it’s a stream or pond, with a rock at the edge or perhaps in the middle. The air appears reasonably still, from the smoothness of the water, and the water is certainly shallow. There’s a fairly modern watch sitting on a rock. It’s bright sunlight, around midday, and this is supported by the time shown on the watch. It’s probably sometime around the spring or summer months, judging from the foliage visible – and this is supported by the date shown on the watch (let’s assume you can actually read the “TU 5-1” it displays.) Which would probably indicate northern hemisphere, since May is spring there – but maybe not, since it might be the European format and indicate January 5 instead, so this might actually be the southern hemisphere.

The watch itself has some mystery behind it. It’s not natural, so it appears to have been placed or lost here. It is clean, and still displaying a time, indicating that this might have happened recently, but there’s no one visible, supporting the idea that the watch might have been lost. It is a man’s style wristwatch, electronic LCD, battery-powered, probably (judging from the buttons and display) with several options other than simply timekeeping. Anything else that you’d like to add?

What about mood? Does the image evoke any particular emotion, like mellow feelings over a pleasant day, or maybe commiseration over a lost watch, or just curiosity over how such a scene might have come about? Are the memories of any smells or sounds stirred up, or thoughts about fishing or exploring, or recollections of camping or salamander chasing? Can you almost feel the cool water around your ankles, and the tricky footing beneath your feet? Or perhaps there’s even some feelings of distaste over an environment that’s almost impossible to stay clean within, with no ready-made meals and no entertainment.

The student exercise is about metaphors, and what portions of an image tell the viewer (and thus, how a photographer can use this to their advantage.) Now instead, imagine what a computer program could tell us about this image.

Well, virtually none of that (“virtually,” heh! I kill me). The image is simply a collection of pixels of certain colors. There is nothing three-dimensional about it, and in fact, it vanishes without the input of electricity. To actually determine anything specific like “watch” and “water,” a significant amount of programming would have to be done to differentiate all of the myriad ways such things could appear. Determining even if the image is level would require more than a method of finding a horizon, since none actually appears, so any program would have to include some algorithm to average out the waterlines against the rocks. Even just a method of picking out the metal construction of the watch would require a comparison of the lighter, less-saturated portions of the image (what we call “reflections”) against the remainder of the image, probably linked to uniformity in shape so the program wouldn’t mistake reflections from the water as being ‘metallic.’

Is it possible for a program to interpret the time from the watch? Yes, provided it can also handle the oblique distortion of a watch at an angle rather than almost face-on as seen here, or upside down or sideways. To render this as time, however, would also need supporting details to recognize the shape of a watch. Had the lighting and colors indicated that the time was closer to sunset, any computer would need another algorithm to even detect the anachronism, much less recognize that the watch was probably set for the wrong time. It would have to be told (programmed) to recognize that a watch being incorrect is infinitely more likely than the sun abruptly setting at quarter to two.

I’m betting your eye jumped to the watch quickly when you first saw the image, and this is partially because of contrast, but more due to pattern recognition – it’s why you likely noted the time on the watch but paid little attention to the foliage or the lichen, which are also high in contrast, but lacking the strong patterns of the watch. How many different kinds of plant life are visible? It’s a low number, but I’m betting you still have to go back and count, since this aspect wasn’t something we typically look for. We attach varying levels of importance to different factors within the image, so any computer program to interpret such images would either be lacking such biases, or need to have them specifically delineated.

And then, there’s the emotional aspect. Whatever feelings you may have gotten from the images are a result of your past experience, and the connections you made at those times. They are a product not just of sensory input, but your personal evaluation of whether, for instance, wading in a stream is a good or bad thing. You can almost hear the sounds, feel the mud, and smell the water because your brain makes connections of all of these inputs in a common manner, so seeing a two-dimensional representation of a stream automatically connects to the other elements. And your emotions are guides towards learning, and better experiences. They exist because they served a survival purpose that gave an edge over our ancestors that didn’t possess them.

That’s the underlying message here: everything that we can interpret from such images is the product of millions of years of selective pressure, filtered through an organism that has a remarkable network of interacting neurons to build memories and connotations – and is building even more right now. I could tell you what kind of plant produces those bright green leaves you see (well, okay, I honestly can’t, but let’s pretend for a moment,) and you may retain this info for a long time – you might even remember it every time you think of a stream or river. Yet any program written to interpret this image will gain nothing new from my explanations unless it is either reprogrammed to include the info, or has an elaborate mechanism of receiving, interpreting, and connecting information. You know, through experience, that some plants grow only near water, and may wonder if what you see here qualifies, but even that information would have to be input into any program.

Even if we had the ability to create a computer, a robot if you will, that could walk into a river, feel the water, smell the sounds, and put these together into a coherent whole that permitted both extrapolations and comparisons to similar experiences later on, there remains the curious aspect of what weight it could give these. What would have to be included to have it react to the water being cold? We do this because it harms our circulation or even damages our cells, so there’s good reason to dislike cold water – but our discomfort is automatic, not reasoned. We could see the rocky bottom and know the footing is treacherous, potentially resulting in injury or even just wet clothes that we wouldn’t be able to change out of for a while, but a constructed mechanism would have different standards of danger or ‘discomfort.’

We could simply skip the mobile part altogether, and concentrate on electronic brains – this has long been a goal ever since calculating machines have been refined. Yet what defines a ‘brain,’ for our purposes? And what could we use it for? The military, for instance, may derive some benefit from an autonomous device that can deal with difficult and dangerous situations, without putting a human in harm’s way. Which sounds very good, until we consider the implications of a device, perhaps bearing weapons, that has no empathy or fear of consequences. Given a situation that we’re unfamiliar with, we humans can extrapolate on the spot, but such computations have to be either programmed in, or the ability to extrapolate programmed in, to any machine that faces unique situations. Not to mention, a failsafe mechanism of ‘fear’ regarding a wrong decision, lest we deal with a highly dangerous machine or one that simply stalls out in the vacuum of input it was made to deal with. Keep in mind that police officers have to determine levels of threat from any given situation, with occasional gross errors – imagine an autonomous machine trying to do the same in an area filled with civilians.

Electronic brains are also something that space exploration might benefit from. Forget the ‘humaniform’ robots of Asimov’s – what we’re most likely to aim for are planetary probes that can cope with unforeseen conditions, without having to wait for the speed-of-light lag in communicating with operators on Earth. This might be very useful in detecting a collision with a bit of space debris without external help, or shutting down a delicate sensor during a gamma ray burst – but are such abilities much easier to program in, saving the time and effort to develop a ‘thinking’ brain that has some form of self-preservation instinct? What about spotting a curious geological structure that deserves more attention during a planet flyby? What criteria do we use to define “curious?” Planetary geologists would certainly define this more usefully than I, so it’s not even a brain that would be useful, but a brain with the right experience.

This isn’t just an interesting exercise. There really are people who claim that we’ll surmount all of these issues to not only produce a working brain, but one that will surpass humans in ability – and that this will occur ‘soon.’ Most of their support for this claim comes from something called “Moore’s Law,” an examination of trends in computing power – essentially, the density of silicon ‘gates’ in microprocessors has been rising exponentially for years. From this, they conclude that it will continue to rise, at the same rate even, which ignores two important factors. The first is that extrapolations of this kind cannot be considered ‘law,’ just guesses at trends, and plenty of things can influence a trend (experience with the dot.com and housing bubbles shows us where counting on trends can sometimes end up). The second factor is the very real limits of physics, electrical resistance, and flattening signal-to-noise ratios, which means that we would need to develop entirely new technology to progress beyond a certain point – and that this development would fit into the projected timeline.

Worse, the functions of microprocessors aren’t even close to the functions of brains, in structure, operation, charge, or method of programming; even while the comparison has been made for decades in popular media, the analogy is weak and facile. The chemical functionality of neurons does not translate well to the electrical resistance aspect of silicon chips. And to be blunt, we have only tantalizing hints of how the brain functions anyway, and what aspect of its development sets it apart from other species’. We still struggle with epilepsy, autism, schizophrenia, and countless other mental issues precisely because we don’t really know what causes them.

So let’s say that we’re not looking to emulate the human brain itself, but trying instead to build a machine of high intelligence in whatever way possible. This leads to a concept often referred to as the ‘technological singularity,’ differentiating it from a gravitational singularity whence it plagiarized its name. A gravitational singularity is a theoretical state where gravity collapses matter below its standard atomic size and departs from the standard behaviors of space-time – black holes are the typical example, and they possess an ‘event horizon’ where matter can only pass one way. A technological ‘singularity’ borrows the event horizon idea to refer to the point where machines surpass human intelligence. Is this more likely than an electronic human brain, and somewhere in the near future? The possibility exists, if one considers ‘intelligence’ to be defined as the collection of facts and the ability to interconnect them plausibly – yet, what constitutes ‘plausibly’? When we examine what it is we would expect any such device to accomplish, we have to define every last goal within. Let’s say that we want it to solve a food shortage. There might be many ‘plausible’ options, such as killing off enough people so there no longer remains a shortage – this is a simple application of math, after all. Or food might be reduced to bare essentials of protein and fiber and such, making it remarkably efficient and completely joyless. It’s true that this might result in population decline by itself – I’d kill myself if I could no longer have ribs – but the key lesson in such exercises is that the solutions themselves aren’t necessarily going to be what we want. In order to be functional, or compelling enough to be implemented, they will have to be solutions from a human perspective.

As mentioned several times before, we have drives to figure out how things work, and to explore. These are survival traits bred into us over thousands of generations. Moreover, we start life with virtually nothing, building our intelligence through the near-constant input of information with numerous functions to emphasize connections and associations. The same functions are what leads us to the inductive and creative leaps that define so many of our advances in science. Nobody, as yet, has been able to duplicate the processes that led people like Maxwell, Einstein, and Feynman towards their remarkable discoveries – yet, people like Ray Kurzweil think that we can create a circuit-based intelligence? We’re still finding the similarities among the differences between human and chimpanzee brains, seeing birds that can use tools, and wondering how much of our personalities are defined by genetics. I feel obligated to point out that numerous predictions were made for the year 2000, almost none of which have come to pass. Even something that demands no actual intelligence, like speech recognition software (something that Kurzweil himself has worked on,) has been in development for decades with astoundingly poor progress.

The question also remains as to what we could do with a hyperintelligent computer. Solve some of the more pressing world problems? Such solutions could not revolve around mere logistics, because those aren’t the cause of many of our problems now – we’re hampered by politics, tribalism, competition, and even selfish emotions. Most of our issues are solely because we’re human, and even if some machine could produce a solution, you’d have to get people to actually implement it. Hell, we can stretch our limited resources, right now, by the very well-known solution of using less energy – getting right on that, aren’t we? No, we’re arguing over how much and how and when and if it’s justified by its cost and “Hey, I need my truck!”

Kurzweil has provided another argument for such machines, however: that we could download our memories and brain functions into them and, in essence, live forever. Yet there are so many issues with this that it becomes hard to believe anyone with any knowledge of cognitive function could take this seriously. Human memory is not like a recording – it changes constantly due to sensory input and new associations, and in too many cases contains nothing but imagination. Worse, we already know what happens with simple factors like sensory deprivation, or sleep deprivation – we start going psychotic. So even if we could actually read memories, and store them, and did have an artificial brain capable of not just storage, but cognition, the ‘intelligence’ that it produced would almost certainly be useless (not to mention creating a frothing mob of activists eager to shut it down.)

Even those who think we can create artificial intelligence by going the same route that nature took, starting with some basic artificial neurons and selecting for best functionality, are unlikely to achieve much of anything. Our development as a species, in fact every species’ development, was and still is shaped by the conditions and demands of the environment. When we think about solving the limited resource question by killing excess population, we balk at this precisely because we have social instincts that have developed over millions of years, almost certainly because the competition with other species that could either outrun us or eat us required an edge – thus, cooperation. We have standards of beauty because our successful reproduction was enhanced by certain traits revolving around health, stamina, a birth canal that could pass our offsprings’ oversized heads, and so on. And as indicated above, some of the things that we’d like to improve in our world are directly caused by the functions that provided for survival, that are (in some cases) now outmoded within our new cultures. Even the random mutations that DNA undergoes contribute, unpredictably. Everything interconnects, and like the philosophical pondering of what could have happened if some ancestor had turned left instead of right, a subtle difference in conditions during the development of brains might lead in wildly disparate directions. Any attempt at an evolved artificial intelligence is virtually guaranteed to produce nothing that we would even recognize.

The same applies for any concepts of extra-terrestrial intelligence as well. The environmental conditions would be so dissimilar that the very definition of ‘intelligence’ becomes meaningless. Even communication is highly likely to be impossible, since we would have no abstract concepts that are similar, no desires, no emotions, and not even any basic needs. Like concepts such as ‘consciousness,’ intelligence is an arbitrary distinction that mostly serves to feed our own ego, but lacks any pertinent definition when we consider finding it in any other species, or creating it artificially.

This is what’s so fascinating about natural selection, since it produces remarkably unique traits from some of the simplest ‘rules,’ forging a path that could have led in any direction. Our minds are in some ways quite impressive, like when we realize that our species alone can contemplate subatomic processes and galaxy formation. And in other ways they’re quite inept, constantly hampered by petty demands and filters, trashing our cognitive functionality with emotional sidetracking about whether we’re cool enough, or if our success should be measured by having a sun room. One begins to wonder if we really should try to duplicate this – or whether eliminating what we consider our ‘imperfections’ would stop us from being human.

One good reason

Did I mention that, to be a nature photographer, you had to get up early? No one ever looks back on their life and says, “I wish I spent more time in bed.”

Okay, wait, that’s probably a tad inaccurate. It likely happens a few hundred thousand times daily. That doesn’t make it a bad proverb, though.

Okay, yes it does. But ignoring all that, if you want to get interesting nature photos, get your lazy ass out of bed anyway. And be aware that the sun moves very quickly when you’re counting on backlighting, and may simply stop throwing light through your chosen subject even as you’re trying to focus. Seriously, I had to abandon another, even more photogenic leaf as it dropped into shadow again. But I guess I can’t complain.

Okay, yes I can, and frequently do. Cuss a lot while shooting, too (and, for that matter, at all other times.) Maybe I should quit here…

Pride

Yes, I know this appears to be a crass copy of the pose seen here, but unless that otter is actually eating a vole, I’d hazard that the evidence leans towards coincidence.

I had earlier spotted the same species jumping spider as this one, atop a log and showing off its vivid rust-colored abdomen, but it was so shy that I never got remotely close enough to photograph – the same can be said for some vivid green tiger beetles. But this one held still quite cooperatively, and it wasn’t until I was looking at the magnified image in the viewfinder that I tumbled to why. Jumping spiders are just like kids in this regard: give them a treat and they’ll cooperate for a while.

I went down to the river specifically to stage a shot for a post, which will be coming shortly, but got several images unrelated to that topic, so there’s at least one other post coming from the trip too. And if you think this one’s creepy, you ain’t seen nothing yet. This one’s cute in comparison.

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